God: Fact Or Fiction? - Weighing The Evidence

Theory of Evolution 2 - Scientific Theory? (Session 5)

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00:01 ♪ ♪ Subodh K. Pandit, M.D.
00:57 We have now come to Session Five and I would like to remind you
01:01 that we have challenged ourselves to remain as neutral
01:05 inquirers. No matter what the information that is brought we
01:10 will remain as neutral inquirers and use the four factors we
01:16 need to provide that atmosphere. So let's remind ourselves again:
01:20 Humility, honesty, calmness and respect. In the last session,
01:27 we looked at the theory of evolution and whether its
01:31 fundamental precepts would stand scrutiny. Now we're going to
01:37 look at it from another angle. Is the theory of evolution a
01:42 true scientific theory? Now to do that we have to first
01:47 establish the criteria that make any theory a truly scientific
01:52 theory. So here are the criteria that people usually use. There
01:57 are positive criteria and negative criteria. The positive
02:03 criteria are basically four. Number one: A relatively new
02:08 concept. A scientist does not have to rehash somebody else
02:14 work. It will not be a good theory, not a true scientific
02:17 theory if he does that. Number two: It should be testable.
02:22 Number three: It should be backed by convincing evidence.
02:26 And number four: It should have predictive value. The negative
02:32 criteria and those that a good solid scientific theory should
02:35 not have. There are four there too. The theory should not
02:40 confess ignorance at critical points. Number two: It should
02:45 not use circular reasoning. Number three: It should not
02:50 express contradictory ideas. And number four: It should not
02:54 ask us to require imagination so that we can understand what
02:59 the theory says. So let's look at each of those. Let's start
03:03 with the positive criteria. Number one: It should be a new
03:08 or a relatively new concept. Actually, natural selection was
03:14 described way before Darwin very intelligently by a non
03:19 evolutionist according to Loren Eiseley. But this natural
03:24 selection did not go on and on to form all the organisms. It
03:30 just shifted one organism through its variation or to a
03:35 subspecies, not just on and on. And so Darwin did come along
03:39 and he did say something new. He said that these variations
03:43 could go on and on, these changes could go on and on. And
03:47 so the concept really is new because it's an unlimited change
03:51 that Darwin described by which one organism became all that we
03:57 see around us today. How about testability? Is the theory of
04:03 evolution truly testable in the scientific terms of that word?
04:08 There is something known as the doctrine of falsifiability.
04:12 Now if this is
04:15 complex and confusing, don't worry. You can just put
04:21 it aside for now but I will just mention it. "A theory which is
04:25 not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific." That's
04:31 what Karl Popper said and he was known as the dean of the modern
04:36 philosophy of science. He further went on to say:
04:39 "...the criterion of the scientific status of a theory
04:43 is its falsifiability, or refutability, or testability."
04:48 In other words, a scientific theory must not only allow
04:52 itself to be shown correct by the data gathered but must also
04:57 allow itself to be shown wrong or false by any of the data that
05:01 was gathered. It's not that it should be shown correct. It
05:06 should also be shown wrong if it is wrong. The latter, this part,
05:10 is known as the doctrine of falsifiability. It requires a
05:15 description within the theory of what kind of data would prove it
05:23 wrong if it is wrong. That's why it is called the doctrine of
05:27 falsifiability. And he describes certain theories. This is Karl
05:35 Popper, described certain theories. He said, "These
05:37 theories were able to explain practically everything that
05:40 happened..." "Whatever happened always confirmed it."
05:44 Let's underline those words or bold those words. "Whatever
05:49 happened always confirmed it."
05:51 So now you might be a little confused, so let me tell you or
05:55 give you an example of a testable theory and a non
05:59 testable theory. First a testable theory. In simple words
06:04 if I said Mr. A is progressive and we know why he is
06:10 progressive when he goes forward he's progressing. This theory
06:15 can be tested because it can be shown true if he is going
06:20 forward. But if he is found to standstill or go backward
06:25 then this theory has been proved wrong. Therefore this theory
06:29 that Mr. A is progressive can be tested. Now a non-testable
06:34 theory. Almost the same words but look at what happens here.
06:40 The theory here says Mr. A is always progressive whether he
06:46 goes backward, stands still or goes forward. Think. This theory
06:53 cannot be tested because it cannot be shown false by any
06:58 conceivable data. So whether he goes forward or backward or
07:03 stands still he's still progressive. But what if he's
07:06 not progressive. We cannot show that. Therefore this is non
07:11 testable and a theory that makes itself shown to be non-testable
07:15 is not a scientific theory. Now with that idea in
07:22 mind let's look at what some of the evolutionists have said
07:26 about their own theory. And here is Paul Ehrlich and Elsie Burch
07:33 both evolutionists. Look at their confession. "Our theory of
07:36 evolution has become...one which cannot be refuted by any
07:40 possible observation. Every conceivable observation can be
07:45 fitted into it...No one can think of ways to test it...They
07:49 have become part of an evolutionary dogma accepted by
07:54 most of us as part of our training." So the theory of
07:59 evolution is not scientific according to that because it is
08:04 not testable in a major way. In other words, they agree that
08:08 it's a dogma. That does not answer then the doctrine of
08:13 falsifiability. What's dogma? It's a claim or a statement
08:17 that does not require any evidence for its support and
08:20 will not tolerate any degree of questioning or scrutiny or
08:24 challenge. Next Convincing Data: A good theory should have
08:31 enough of convincing data. But look at these two statements;
08:35 one is by the late Stephen Gould He was the professor of
08:40 paleontology at Harvard University and after looking at
08:45 the information we have compared to what we're supposed to have
08:48 this is what he said: "We fancy ourselves as the only true
08:53 students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account
08:58 of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so
09:03 bad that we never see the very process we profess to study.
09:07 How about another sentence? Listen to this statement: "When
09:13 we descend to the details we cannot prove that
09:16 a single species
09:18 has changed; nor can we prove that the supposed changes are
09:22 beneficial, which is the groundwork of the theory." Do
09:27 you know who said those words? Think. Charles Darwin himself.
09:34 Really what of that theory now? We can't even prove that one
09:41 species has changed. And what about the whole classification
09:45 of species to genus to family to order, phylum, kingdom, domain?
09:50 "Evolution requires intermediate forms" said David Kitts,
09:57 "between species, and paleontology does not provide
10:01 them." So we don't have the data What about the words from Philip
10:06 Handler? "Some 25 major phyla are recognized for all the
10:11 animals, and in virtually not a single case is there fossil
10:15 evidence to demonstrate what the common ancestry of any two
10:19 looked like." In other words, we have these phyla but we don't
10:23 what was before it to have given it these phyla. "The known
10:29 fossil record fails to document a single example of phyletic
10:33 evolution accomplishing a major morphologic transition." How
10:38 about another statement of Stephen Gould? "In any local
10:41 area, a species does not arise gradually by the steady
10:45 steady transformation of its ancestors; it appears all at
10:50 once and fully formed." So what about those little changes that
10:54 brought it to its position. We don't have data on that. So
10:59 demonstration of change from one species to another which is
11:03 called genealogy, parent, daughter would require a smooth
11:09 chain of intermediates linking one to the other. Here is one
11:14 and so many changes, the next one became changed a little bit
11:18 and then a little bit more and so many generations later well
11:21 that one has changed enough to call it another species. We have
11:25 250,000 fossil species in all the museums of the world. So we
11:32 have 250,000 chances of producing change that connect
11:37 one species to another. How many changes should we have
11:43 to make sure our theory is truly a solid scientific theory? Out
11:49 of 250,000 chances how many smooth changes do we have. Do
11:56 you know? Not one. "Nobody knew better than Darwin what he had
12:02 failed to prove." George Levine in the introduction to the book
12:06 Origin of Species. "There is no more conclusive refutation of
12:11 Darwinism than that furnished by paleontology..." or the
12:14 fossil record. Why? This is what Oswald Spengler said: "We find
12:19 perfectly stable and unaltered forms...that appear suddenly
12:24 and at once in their definitive shape...without transition
12:28 types." That is not what the theory says you should have
12:34 found. Then comes something known as the Cambrian Explosion.
12:39 You see the geologic record goes from one layer to the next and
12:44 to the next and in these layers we find fossils which are
12:48 progressing from the simpler forms to the more complex and
12:51 more complex and finally we have humans. That's how it went.
12:55 The Cambrian Explosion describes a certain level in which the
13:01 previous level had very simple, small organisms, not complex
13:10 body parts. But suddenly at the very next strata of the
13:16 geologic column you find a whole lot of phylum-level organisms.
13:23 Remember what I said phylum was? Way up there; species, family,
13:28 order, class, phylum. So without going through all of them
13:33 suddenly we find in this geologic strata a whole lot of
13:38 phyla. Phyla, phylum level organisms. Look at what Roger
13:43 Lewin said: "Compared to the 30 or so extant phyla..." that
13:48 means those that we have here... "some people estimate that the
13:51 Cambrian Explosion may have generated as many as 100."
13:56 From a few to 100. And remember what we said about the
14:01 classification. Look at that species, genus, family, order,
14:07 class and then phylum. The phylum level organisms in the
14:11 Cambrian Explosion came out of nowhere. Further, no new phylum
14:18 has ever developed after the Cambrian Explosion which is
14:22 supposed to have happened more than 500 million years ago. So
14:29 as Paul Sheehan said more phyla in the very, very beginning than
14:31 now exist, the whole thing turns out to be reversed. How about
14:37 features of the actual data? Genetic changes are supposed to
14:43 cause evolution. But lethal mutations which are
14:46 genetic changes
14:48 outnumbered the ordinary ones, the visible ones by 20 to 1. So
14:54 any time you have a good mutation you have 20 bad ones.
14:56 So which way are we going? Here's what Heribert Nilsson
15:02 said: "It is therefore absolutely impossible to build
15:06 current evolution on mutations (genetic changes) or on
15:10 recombination's" which are genetic changes too. How about
15:14 the question of these changes being very, very small. "By this
15:19 theory..." of small changes... "innumerable transitional forms
15:23 must have existed." Charles Darwin says: "The number of
15:26 intermediates must be truly enormous." In fact, George
15:31 Levine in describing that says: "In Darwin's world, there are no
15:34 permanent boundaries and virtually every organism varies
15:38 through time...he sets everything from rocks to
15:41 barnacles to birds and trees in motion." In other words, this is
15:48 what Oswald Spengler says: "There ought to be merely
15:51 'transitional' types..." That's why he had said this earlier
15:55 statement: "There is no more conclusive refutation of
15:59 Darwinism than that furnished by paleontology. There out to be
16:03 merely 'transitional' types, no definition and no species.
16:07 Instead of this, we find perfectly stable forms...that
16:11 appear suddenly and at once in their definitive shape, that do
16:13 not thereafter evolve towards other adaptations."
16:19 How about the real bits of information we now have?
16:22 "The fruit fly whose geographical, biotopical, urban
16:25 and rural genotypes are now known inside out seems not to
16:29 have changed since the remotest times." Coelacanths, a type of
16:33 fish, have undergoing little change in 300 million years.
16:38 Paradoxically, says Richard Goldsmith, "...all orders or
16:44 families known appear suddenly and without any apparent
16:47 transition." "New species almost always appeared suddenly with no
16:53 intermediate links to ancestors." So the suddenness
16:57 doesn't jive with the gradual picture that is supposed to have
17:04 shown. How about the fact that the changes were accumulative?
17:07 Remember we said one small change write it down for a little
17:10 while another small change added to that so now we have
17:12 two changes and three and four and by the time a hundred
17:15 changes come by, come there, well we have shifted from this
17:18 species to another. But in 1980 there was a very historic
17:25 meeting of evolutionists in Chicago and Roger Lewin was
17:31 one of the scientists' reporters. Look at his words: "The central
17:39 question of the Chicago Conference was whether the
17:42 mechanics underlying micro evolution..." which is a change
17:45 species just to subspecies... "can be extrapolated..." or
17:50 pulled out... "to explain the phenomenon of macroevolution..."
17:54 meaning species, genus, the family, order, phylum,
17:57 kingdom... "At
17:59 the risk of doing violence to the positions of some at the
18:03 meeting, the answer can be given as a clear No." In other
18:08 words changes do not accumulate and this is echoed by Francisco
18:11 Ayala who is a well known evolutionist. This is what he
18:17 said: "I am now convinced from what the Paleontologists..."
18:22 those who study fossils... "say, that changes do not accumulate."
18:26 How about the claim that the changes are for the better?
18:30 Genetic changes do not improve organisms; mutants, or those
18:37 that have those changes, are deleterious to their carriers.
18:41 In other words, those changes affect adversely. That's what
18:44 the next statement says: "Mutations [genetic changes]
18:47 invariably affect adversely." And Pierre-Paul Grasse says:
18:53 "Mutations do not produce any kind of evolution." So factwise,
18:59 datawise, we are having a difficult time. How about the
19:03 whether there is predictive value. Here's a prediction
19:06 made by Charles Darwin:
19:07 "No organism wholly soft can be preserved."
19:12 What does the observation show? This is a recent statement by
19:16 Hagadorn: "Thousands of jellyfish..." totally soft
19:22 bodied... "many bigger than a dinner plate are found in at
19:25 lease seven different horizons sandstone." And so David Raup,
19:30 the dean of the Museum of Natural History in Chicago said:
19:33 "The predictive (or postdictive) power of the theory is almost
19:37 nil." Wow! Does it look like the positive criteria have been met?
19:44 How about the negative criteria? Ignorance: No good scientific
19:51 theory should say I don't know. But look at Charles Darwin's own
19:55 words: "Our profound ignorance" he says: "We know nothing
19:59 about the
20:01 origin or history of any of our domestic breeds." And yet that
20:04 is the basis of him providing the theory of evolution, when he
20:07 looked at domestic breeds. And he says we know nothing. How about
20:11 his next statement: "Vertebrates have descended from an ancient
20:15 prototype of which we know nothing." Then how do
20:20 we know they
20:21 we came from them if we know nothing of that? Errol White
20:25 says this: "Lung fishes have their origins firmly based in
20:29 nothing...I have often thought how little I should like to have
20:34 to provide organic evolution in a court of law." And he's the
20:38 president of the Linnean Society of London. That's a big
20:41 evolutionary society. Circular reasoning. What is circular
20:46 reasoning? It's like this: I'm telling you the truth and when
20:50 you ask me how do I know you are telling me the truth? My answer
20:54 is because I'm telling you. In other words, the place of the
20:57 information is also the place of the confirmation of the
21:01 information. That is circular reasoning. Look at this
21:04 statement of Charles Darwin: "Based on the theory of natural
21:09 selection all living species have been connected with the
21:12 parent-species of each genus." The connection of parent in
21:19 species to daughter species is the theory of evolution. So
21:23 based on the theory the Theory is correct. How about the next
21:26 one? Based on the theory of descent, these characters have
21:29 been inherited from a common ancestor." But ancestral factor
21:34 that have gone over to the next generation is the theory. So
21:38 based on the theory, the theory is correct. It would be wouldn't
21:43 it? So Ager said: "We land ourselves immediately in an
21:49 impossible circular argument." "By making our explanation into
21:54 the definition... "the condition to be explained, we express not
21:58 scientific hypotheses but belief... Dogmatic endeavors
22:01 of this kind must eventually leave the realm of science."
22:06 How about the place of contradictions? We must not
22:11 state a fact and then contradict it by another statement. But
22:16 look at these couple of statements by Charles Darwin:
22:19 "We never know the exact character of the common
22:24 ancestor." And yet another statement: "We may feel sure
22:29 that these characters have been inherited from a common ancestor
22:33 How can you be sure of what you never know? It is
22:38 contradictory. Here's another one: "The fossil evidence does
22:42 not afford plain evidence of gradation." That means small
22:47 changes. And yet another statement: "Geology..." which is
22:50 the fossil record... "plainly declares that all species have
22:54 changed in the manner that my theory requires." I don't think
22:59 facts can plainly declare what it cannot show. Number four:
23:07 The question of imagination. These again are the words of
23:14 Charles Darwin. "It is good thus to try in our imagination to
23:19 give any form some advantage over another." In other words,
23:25 the advantage is not really seen it's not really there in the
23:30 data, we must supply that with our imagination. Here's another
23:35 sentence: "We have only to suppose their common progenitor"
23:38 Why should you have to suppose? Because it is not there in the
23:43 data. And one we suppose "then natural selection will account
23:47 for the infinite diversity." George Levine in the
23:52 introduction to the Origin of Species says: "Darwin's
23:55 imagination and his science, his imaginative science." So a lot
24:01 of that is really imagination that we are supposed to use...
24:06 but really! Which scientific theory leans on imagination?
24:12 No, scientific theories set themselves strongly on data that
24:17 can be collected and that can be analyzed. So the theory of
24:22 evolution does not have any of the positive criteria that
24:25 a good scientific theory should have. On the contrary, it
24:29 possesses all the negative criteria that a good scientific
24:33 theory should not have. So it can be proposed as an idea or
24:38 a proposition but not as fact. So we have already agreed that
24:44 natural selection is a real phenomenon, but it does not
24:49 produce anything more than variations and subspecies. We
24:54 have already agreed that evolution does occur. The word
24:58 evolution, yes it does occur. But it's a limited process, in
25:02 that species do form variations and subspecies. But the Theory
25:08 of Evolution, which states that the changes were unlimited, and
25:12 involved the entire spectrum of biological classification, is
25:17 highly suspect today. So the Theory of Evolution really is
25:23 not science. It's actually history. It's a historical
25:27 construct that is thrust onto the science of Biology. But it
25:30 so bad history that nobody would teach it as history
25:35 in a reputable
25:36 school or university. So the Theory of Evolution fails as
25:41 science flops as history and for it to rise any higher than
25:46 mere speculation it, here are the words of Murray Eden:
25:49 It "must await the discovery of new natural laws, physical,
25:53 physicochemical and biological" Look at the title of his paper.
26:00 Inadequacies of Neo-Darwinism as a Scientific Theory. So what
26:09 are we looking at? We have looked at the fundamental claims
26:16 of the theory. We've looked at whether the theory can really
26:21 meet the criteria of a good scientific theory and it seems
26:25 to have failed in both. Therefore the second proposition
26:30 we had made earlier and which is more reasonable because of
26:37 information we have in our hands today. And the second
26:39 proposition was this: If the Theory of Evolution is not
26:43 scientific, then "nature," and Its study could endorse the
26:49 claim that God is essential and does in fact exist. What we are
26:55 saying is that we must go where the argument leads according to
27:00 Socrates quoted by Plato. We'll meet again at the next session.
27:05 If you have enjoyed this presentation with Dr. Subodh
27:10 Pandit and wish to watch more of this unique 13 part series for
27:15 free online visit the website, GodFactOrFiction.com. That's
27:21 GodFactOrFiction.com. If you would like to order this
27:24 fascinating series on DVD it is now available from White Horse
27:28 Media...
27:37 Dr. Subodh Pandit has written two eye-opening books entitled
27:40 Come Search With Me: Does God Really Exist? and Come Search
27:45 With Me: The Weight of Evidence which further explore the topics
27:48 of evolution, theism, atheism and religion...
27:54 ♪ ♪


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